Thursday, January 29, 2009

UPDATE: Mount Redoubt...

is still percolating with "seismicity remaining above background levels." The Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) issued an information statement yesterday outlining four potential eruption scenarios in the days/weeks ahead. They are:
  1. a failed eruption,
  2. an eruption similar to 1989-1990,
  3. a large, explosive eruption,
  4. a flank collapse.
The AVO predicts:
Based on all available monitoring data and AVOs knowledge of the volcano, scenario number two, an eruption similar to or smaller than that of 1989-90, appears to be the most probable outcome at this time. We consider one and three to be somewhat less likely, and scenario four to be much less likely.
Stay tuned. We'll see.

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